INTEGRAL MODEL OF COVID-19 SPREAD AND MITIGATION IN UK: IDENTIFICATION OF TRANSMISSION RATE
نویسندگان
چکیده
The integral model with finite memory is employed to analyze the timeline of COVID-19 epidemic in United Kingdom and government actions mitigate it. uses a realistic infection distribution. time-varying transmission rate determined from Volterra equation first kind. authors construct justify an efficient regularization algorithm for finding rate. are approbated on UK data several waves demonstrate remarkable resemblance between real simulated dynamics. timing preventive measures their impact dynamics discussed.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Mathematical Modelling and Analysis
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1648-3510', '1392-6292']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3846/mma.2022.15708